Author: OLIVER MASSMANN, Partner, Duane Morris Vietnam LLC, Lothar Schätzlein
Private investors in Vietnam have been advocating more private sector participation in infrastructure for the 1ast 10 years.
Their underlying concern for the last 10 years that failure to develop infrastructure will be a bottleneck to Vietnam's growth - is now well-accepted.
According to page 3 of the Vietnam Investment Review of 2 November 2009, Prime Minister Dung stated that "In 2009, the country's infrastructure did not improve. This will continue to hurt Vietnam's economic growth ... Vietnam's roads are of low quality, while its electricity system has failed to meet the people's demands. There is still a lack of urban area infrastructure and water drainage and supply systems ... "
The PM's analysis is in line with that of the World Economic Forum, according to which Vietnam ranks last on the competitiveness index for infrastructure quality compared to other neighboring counties.
Logistics costs associated with infrastructure investments made up 9.5% of GDP in the US; 11 % in Japan; 21 % in China and 25% in Vietnam and that the lack of a suitable port infrastructure is costing Vietnam approximately $1.7 billion in logistics costs per year because local companies transship goods via Hong Kong and Singapore.
If you look at the global picture pre-crisis, government infrastructure investments have generally declined compared to private infrastructure investments.
Minister Phuc, Ministry of Planning and Investment, was clear about the tract that the current situation made it vital for the public and private sector to work together to identify and implement responsive measures, not only to solve the macro-economic downturn but also the infrastructure problem.
The infrastructure demand is huge in Vietnam; power demand is continuing to grow at more than 15% per annum and will require some $60 billion by 2025. Investment needs in telecoms, ports, airports, roads, railways and air transport are vast. MPI estimates that $139 billion is needed over the next 5 years.
PPP
The question is what to do about it? Investors have been advocating more PPPs since 2001. There is now general agreement among business groups that a greater emphasis on Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) is desirable. PPP is a well-established mechanism for delivering cost-efficient investment around the world. Basically, in the PPP model, the government pays over the long term as services are delivered. The private sector provides the funding using a 1arge portion of debt plus shareholder equity. The return on their equity depends on the quality of services (payments based on usage or on availability). The private sector service provider is responsible not just for asset delivery but fur overall project management and implementation and operation for several years.
Current Status of PPP in Vietnam
Where are PPPs in Vietnam and what could be done to make it more effective? In Vietnam, "PPP" currently consists of few unrelated strands:
Power
There have been some successes in the power sector:
The Phu My 2-2 and Phu My 3 projects are the leading examples of what can be done. 1500MW of power were financed entirely by the private sector. These plants become the property of the Government in another 12 years or so at no cost to the State budget.
But the Phu My 2-2 and Phu My 3 projects were isolated. No follow-on project has been licensed, despite the best efforts of numerous developers (though some are rumored to be closed) and despite the collaborative work of IFC and the MOIT to develop the Nghi Son 2 project for bid. 5.3 In addition, Hiep Phuoc, Bourbon Tay Ninh and Formosa are examples of successful 'captive' power production schemes, allowing private companies to generate their own electricity for use in their factories or industrial zones and to sell excess output to EVN.
However, difficulties negotiating a PPA with EVN and gaining an electricity license from MOIT need to be overcome and a standardized approach adopted which encourages and incentives private sector investment in captive power production.
In addition, many small hydropower projects were licensed to developers without the financial and operational capacity to properly develop the projects. As a result, small hydro-power capacity is currently well below its potential.
Ports
There have also recently been some successes in the private sector with ports, for example at Cai Mep and Hiep Phuoc. The public sector has had to provide roads and will have to provide dredging support, but there is little formal public-private cooperation, just ad hoc cooperation that is not sufficient for the future of infrastructure development as a whole.
Most of the issues, that challenge the ability of private businesses in this sector, especially the private sector's inability to plan without access to discussions surrounding the Integrated Transportation Infrastructure Plan, (including milestones, timelines for completion and responsible parties), remain outstanding. The most significant public sector constraints on private sector port development are the following:
Telecoms
There were several BCCS in the 1990s but little infrastructure investment except by SOES.
Water
There has been a water supply project - the Thu Duc project - which has had some state support, but again in an unstructured form that is not easily replicable.
In addition, there is one example of a small-scale water supply business which has entered into water supply contracts in a vulnerable remote area. In addition to the income for delivery of treated water, the private company has developed additional income from seli1ng treated water to private customers.
This model may be of interest private industrial zone operators who have the ambition to become water utility companies. Contracted to supply water and water treatment for a province, they can secure additional private income selling these services to their own IZS and neighboring industries and housing.
Roads
There have been some private sector road projects, but the land issues are more and more insurmountable absent clear regulations.
Municipal Solid Waste Treatment
This is clearly a high priority for government, but delays in licensing and confusion about which government body has responsibility have hampered developments by private companies. There is one model of solid waste separation and recycling which does appear to have the potential to be expanded nationally. A People's Committee contract to supply and pay for acceptance of waste guarantees the contractor a basic income; this is supplemented by additional private income from selling recovered materials. This combination of public and private income makes this a more attractive investment for the private sector.
Railways
There do not appear to have been any PPPs in this sector.
Airports
Various BOT efforts are underway, but there are no known successes to date. Recommendations for PPP in Vietnam.
The successes mentioned above are insufficient for the huge growth of infrastructure that is now required to keep businesses functioning well. What can be done to make PPP more effective? The recommendations can be broken down into a few categories.
In either event, there are certain important issues which should be covered in the regulations to make infrastructure projects work. These include:
Institutional Framework
No PPP framework will be successful without the appropriate institutional backing. While we acknowledge that there are different institutional options for PPP, the some institutions would suggest that:
Model projects
It will take time to develop a deep institutional capacity. In the meantime, it is suggested that model PPP projects be developed. Pilot projects should be developed for "easier" sectors first (power and water). They should then be replicated in those sectors. Once the model works, similar projects should be developed in other infrastructure sub sectors where private sector participation is possible.
It is important that the models work and that the project is clearly defined with risks and rewards appropriately allocate between the parties involved. Well-structured projects with balance risk profiles attract competition from multiple bidders which will reduce the cost of the project and benefit Vietnam.
Investors would therefore encourage the Government to develop documents for bid with international assistance, but only if it can be done well and without too many delays. If this occurs, then one project can be replicated many times.
In some sectors it may not be possible to develop generally-applicable bid documents. Here, it may be possible for the Movement to do one negotiated project well and then to announce that its terms will be the precedent to be applied to future projects.
If you have questions or comments on that or related topics do not hesitate to contact:

Oliver Massmann, Partner
Email: omassmann@duanemorris.com
Duane Morris Vietnam LLC
Pacific Place Unit V1308, 13th Floor
83B Ly Thuong Kiet Street
Hoan Kiem District, Hanoi
Vietnam
Phone: 84.4.3946.2205
Fax: 84.4.3946.1311